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Nuggets Journal: Can Nikola Jokic defy expectations and narratives enough to win 4th MVP?


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“For anybody that says Nikola Jokic is not a good defender, I would question their basketball intelligence, and I would question how much film they’re really watching,” coach Michael Malone said Wednesday after Jokic had eight deflections, two steals and two blocks against the Thunder. “Because you don’t have to be an athletic guy blocking shots and pinning them on the glass to be a great defender. … Nikola Jokic has tremendous intelligence. He has the best anticipation I’ve ever seen.”

The element of team success will loom over the Serbian’s chances. In a nuanced MVP race against Gilgeous-Alexander, Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo last season, Jokic had the benefit of 57 wins, which tied Oklahoma City for the most in the West. The Nuggets have been effective at cobbling together victories so far, the kind that coaches say build character in the long haul. Will they be able to steady the ship and make winning look easier as the season unfolds?

The standard Jokic must meet this year is higher than ever. If he doesn’t lead Denver to at least a top-three seed again, there’s a chance it won’t matter if he averages 30, 15 and 12. Then again, for Denver to be a high seed, he might need to.

The more MVP trophies an NBA player possesses, the more improbable it becomes that he will secure another.

Whether it’s fair or not, that tends to be the reality. It was undoubtedly among the reasons Nikola Jokic wasn’t the most popular preseason pick to win the award in 2024-25, despite having monopolized it the last four years.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luka Doncic have maintained a firm lead in betting odds. Part of that has to do with projected team success. Whereas the Nuggets stumbled out of the gate after a divisive offseason, Gilgeous-Alexander’s Thunder started the season 7-0 before Denver spoiled the win streak Wednesday. Doncic’s Mavericks wield the benefit of the doubt as defending Western Conference champions — a competitive edge that belonged to Jokic last season.

But the advantage he lacks is the amount of space available in the trophy case. SGA and Doncic have plenty of room. The Nuggets’ center is facing a shortage of it.

And still, the three-time MVP is making himself impossible to ignore.

“We’ve got the best player on the planet on our team,” teammate Russell Westbrook, a former MVP himself, said this week.

Two weeks into the season — yes, it’s still the overreaction portion of the program, so feel free to roll your eyes as you read on — the early forecast is that Jokic might just be transcendent enough to turn the next MVP vote into a referendum on his historical cachet. He was averaging both a triple-double and a career-high in scoring through eight games: 28.8 points (No. 4 in the league), 13.5 rebounds (No. 1) and 11 assists (No. 1).

“Nikola always averages a triple-double,” DeAndre Jordan said, shrugging. “We talk about that (crap) after the game (in the locker room), and they say, ‘Nikola, 30-point triple-double.’ When I first got here, I was like, ‘Yeah, let’s go!’ And then after a while, it just kind of is like, ‘All right, well, that’s what he does.’ I think we take it for granted because we see it all the time, but it’s not normal.”

Jokic is already on a list of nine players in NBA history who’ve won the award three times. The club shrinks to five players once a fourth coronation is added: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Michael Jordan, Bill Russell, LeBron James and Wilt Chamberlain.

If there is no obvious MVP come April, will the 100 voters (disclaimer: I am one of them) deem Jokic worthy of that company? Or will there be deference to a candidate who might be considered safer, in order to give someone else their due and side-step the topic of Jokic’s all-time greatness? Does it make sense that a new face should win it this season simply on the basis that to share the wealth is to portray the league’s current parity-filled era accurately?

These are all lofty, philosophical ways of pondering an MVP race. But in theory, they shouldn’t be all that relevant. The most valuable basketball player any given season should win the most valuable player …read more

Source:: The Denver Post – Sports

      

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