Editor’s note: The column below comes in two parts. The bottom section, the main portion of the column, was written by New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman on Tuesday morning before Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel. After the attack began, Friedman filed the update that’s inserted at the top in italics.
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As forecast below, Iran launched more than 100 ballistic missiles at Israel beginning around 12:30 p.m. Eastern time. The Israeli antimissile system shot down almost all of them, Israeli sources said, and while there was some damage, the attack was not considered particularly successful. There are no reports at this time of extensive casualties.
The attack was executed by the air force of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and was not an operation of the regular Iranian army or air force, according to Israeli sources. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was not informed of the attack until shortly before it began, the sources said, indicating that the Iranian regime is divided over the operation, which will probably add to the fractures in the government.
Israel’s ability to anticipate the Iranian strike and name the precise hour of the attack, and the fact that it was a Revolutionary Guard operation — not the regular Iranian armed forces under the command of the new president — demonstrates how deeply the Mossad, Israel’s cyber command, Unit 8200, and the Israeli air force have penetrated the Iranian regime and coordinated their defensive response. It means no Iranian leader can trust the other anymore.
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We may be about to enter what could be the most dangerous moment in the history of the modern Middle East: A ballistic missile war between Iran and Israel, which would almost certainly bring in the United States on Israel’s side and could culminate in a full-blown U.S.-Israeli effort to destroy Iran’s nuclear program.
That is the assessment I have gleaned from talking to Israeli intelligence sources, whose analysis is that Iran plans to launch a missile attack against Israel at 12:30 p.m. Eastern time, which is 7:30 p.m. in Israel. The attack is planned in two waves 15 minutes apart, and each wave will involve 110 ballistic missiles, the Israelis said.
The Iranian missiles are aimed at three targets. First, the headquarters of the Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence service, near Tel Aviv. Second, the Israeli air base at Nevatim, and third, the Israeli air base at Khatzirim; both bases are in the south of Israel in the Negev desert. The Israeli officials are particularly concerned about any strike on Mossad headquarters because it is in the densely populated north Tel Aviv suburb of Ramat Hasharon. It is also not far from the Israeli defense intelligence headquarters, Unit 8200.
This information has been shared with me because the Israelis insist that they do not want a full-scale ballistic war with Iran and want the United States to try to deter the Iranians by letting them know that, if they do launch this missile attack, the United States will not be a bystander, and its response, unlike with the April …read more
Source:: The Mercury News – Entertainment
