When the Eagles and 49ers share the field, talent alone never tells the full story. These matchups are decided in the margins â situational football, structural weaknesses, and which team forces the other to play uncomfortable snaps.
From Philadelphiaâs perspective, the concern isnât whether the Eagles are good enough to win. Itâs whether they can erase the specific pressure points San Francisco is built to exploit.
Outside Runs From McCaffrey Could Trouble Philadelphia
If there is one area San Francisco will stress early, itâs the Eaglesâ run defense â not because itâs poor, but because it has been inconsistent in structure. Philadelphia has shown vulnerability when opponents stretch the field horizontally, forcing linebackers to flow sideline-to-sideline rather than downhill.
This is where Christian McCaffrey becomes the centerpiece. The 49ers donât simply hand him the ball between the tackles â they weaponize him through outside zone, counters, motion, and quick throws that punish overaggressive fronts. When the Eagles play light boxes or lose gap integrity at the second level, those plays turn from modest gains into drive-sustaining chunks.
The danger for Philadelphia isnât explosive runs â itâs death by efficiency. Five yards on first down. Third-and-two instead of third-and-seven. Fewer obvious passing downs where the Eaglesâ pass rush can take over. If San Francisco controls early downs, they control tempo â and that keeps Jalen Hurts on the sideline.
Philadelphia’s defense is allowing approximately five yards per carry on outside zone runs, according to 49ers reporter David Lombardi. If McCaffrey can bounce to the outside and San Francisco can keep third downs manageable, the Niners offense can continue to roll throughout the game.
For the Eagles, winning this game means playing disciplined run defense, fitting gaps cleanly, and forcing the 49ers into long-yardage situations where Brock Purdy must beat pressure rather than rhythm.
Eagles Must Win The Third Down Battle
San Franciscoâs real edge comes on money downs. The Eaglesâ third-down defense has not been dominant, ranking 21st in the NFL, and the 49ers are built to exploit exactly that type of inconsistency. Meanwhile, Kyle Shanahanâs offense ranks first in the NFL on third downs, showing how their creativity and variety of weapons can keep drives alive.
This is where George Kittle, McCaffrey, and layered route concepts come into play. The 49ers donât need deep shots if they can consistently find space at 8â15 yards. Those completions extend drives, wear down the defensive front, and force coverage discipline snap after snap.
For Philadelphia, the issue isnât talent â itâs execution and communication. Missed assignments, late reactions in zone, or hesitation in man coverage turn third-and-medium into conversion opportunities. And once San Francisco strings together drives, the entire flow of the game tilts.
On the other side of the ball, the Eagles’ offense ranks 24th in the league on third downs. The Philadelphia offense has become somewhat predictable this season, which is partially due to the run game being limited by a banged-up offensive line. It will be paramount for the Niners to stop Philly before they get to the red zone, however, because the Eagles rank first from inside the 20-yard line.
The Eagles must win third down â not just with pressure, but with coverage integrity. Get off the field. Force punts. Reclaim possession. Thatâs how Philadelphia reasserts control and prevents the game from becoming a methodical grind designed to neutralize their strengths.
With the 49ers being without defensive stars Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, as well as likely being down wideout Ricky Pearsall and star offensive tackle Trent Williams, injuries favor the Eagles just as they did in the 2022 NFC Championship Game. But it will be up to Philadelphia to win the situational matchups within the game to move on to the divisional round.
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This article was originally published on Heavy Sports
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