Democrats projected to retain their House majority but lose key seats to Republicans

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Democrats will continue to control the House of Representatives after the 2020 election, according to Decision Desk HQ.

Nine races remain to be called, but DDHQ on November 9 projected the Democrats to win the 218 seats needed for a House majority.

The Democrats won the House despite falling short of their aim to expand their control of the chamber and losing key seats to Republicans.

As of November 30, they had lost nine seats on net. Just two US Hose races with incredibly close margins, the open race in Iowa’s 2nd District, where six votes separate the winning and losing candidates, and Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi’s reelection bid in New York’s 22nd District, remain too close to call. 

Democrats also won back the White House, with DDHQ on November 6 projecting Joe Biden as the winner of the presidential election. Republicans still have a good chance of maintaining control of the Senate, which could cause legislative gridlock.

In the 2018 midterms, Democrats flipped 40 seats in the House and won back the chamber in a historic election — a repudiation of both President Donald Trump and the unified Republican government he presided over for nearly two years.

House Democrats’ top goal in the 2020 cycle was to ensure many of their most vulnerable members who had won back the most difficult seats were reelected. Republicans posted a remarkably strong showing, however, contrary to what many district-level polls and election forecasts indicated

The House currently consists of 232 Democrats, 197 Republicans, one Libertarian (Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan, who is retiring), and five vacancies. All 435 seats in the House were up for election this fall.

Numerous freshman Democrats lost reelection 

The vulnerable first-term Democrats who Decision Desk HQ projects to lose reelection are Reps. TJ Cox, Gil Cisneros, and Harley Rouda of California, Reps. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala of Florida, Rep. Abby Finkenauer of Iowa, Rep. Xochitl Torres Small of New Mexico, Rep. Max Rose of New York, Rep. Kendra Horn of Oklahoma, Rep. Joe Cunningham of South Carolina, and Rep. Ben McAdams of Utah. 

Rep. Collin Peterson, a long-serving Democratic representative in a Minnesota district that Trump won by 30 points, also lost reelection.

Some House Democrats who flipped Republican suburban and exurban seats in 2018 did win reelection, however, including Rep. Lucy McBath of Georgia, Rep. Katie Porter of California, Reps. Elaine Luria, Abigail Spanberger, and Jennifer Wexton of Virginia, and Rep. Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey.

Democrats also fell short on many offensive targets 

House Democrats set out on an ambitious agenda to flip many Republican-controlled seats, particularly in Texas and in many suburban districts around the country.

But Democrats have failed, so far, to flip a single GOP-held seat other than Georgia’s 7th Congressional District, located in the Atlanta suurbs, and two North Carolina seats that they were virtually guaranteed to flip because of court-ordered redistricting, according to DDHQ projections. 

Democrats will not pick up competitive US House seats in Texas’ 2nd, 3rd, 10th, 21st, …read more

Source:: Business Insider


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