New polling shows President Donald Trump sinking into a deeper hole in key states.
The coronavirus pandemic and nationwide protests were already coinciding with the erosion of his electoral college firewall, but the latest batch of New York Times/Siena college polls paint an even more dire picture.
Trump is down 14% nationally to former Vice President Joe Bide, and is facing significant deficits in crucial electoral college states.
Among white voters — even those without a college degree — Trump is slipping to Biden, putting his reelection prospects in further jeopardy.
Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.
President Donald Trump’s campaign for re-election is in a precarious position, as the recent polling data shows him behind Democratic nominee Joe Biden by double-digits nationally and in key swing states, and losing ground among crucial demographic groups.
A new series of New York Times/Siena College polls released on Wednesday and Thursday illustrates the grim position Trump finds himself in heading into the election.
The Times and Siena polls, which have an A+ rating for accuracy in FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings, surveyed registered voters on who they would vote for between Trump and Biden both nationwide and in six key battleground states.
On Wednesday, The Times and Siena’s national poll showed Trump down by 14 percentage points nationally, 36% to 50%, in line with other major national polls.
Of course, Americans don’t vote for president in a popular vote election, and in 2016, Trump won the electoral college despite losing the popular vote.
In 2016, the dynamics of the electoral college worked in Trump’s favor when he swept Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin’s electoral college votes, despite winning each state by a margin of less than one percentage point.
But both the latest round of Times/Siena polls and FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages show flashing warning signs for Trump.
Trump is getting poor marks for his handling of major national crises that could still be relevant when Americans start to vote:
The Times and Siena found that Trump’s marked decline in key battleground states compared to last October can be largely attributed to voters disapproving of how Trump has approached the COVID-19 pandemic and protests over police brutality and racism.
Among a sample of 3,870 registered voters in the six battleground states, 42% approve of Trump’s job performance while 54% disapprove.
On specific issues, 56% of voters approved of Trump’s handling of the economy, but just 41% approve of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, 40% approved of his handling of criminal justice policy, 34% approve of his handling of race relations, and 31% approved of his response to the nationwide protests over the death of George Floyd.
Trump is behind in six key battleground states he carried in 2016, and could be bringing the GOP’s Senate majority down with him:
In Michigan, The Times and Siena found Biden leading Trump by 11 points, 47% to 36%. Trump carried the state by 0.3 percentage points in 2016.
In Wisconsin, the poll found Biden leading Trump …read more
Source:: Business Insider