Americans are more likely to be struck by lightning than commit election fraud

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President Donald Trump and his allies are refusing to recognize the results of the 2020 presidential election and seeking to undermine confidence in the results with vague, baseless claims of election fraud.

Insider and Decision Desk HQ projected on Friday, November 6, that President-elect Joe Biden had won Pennsylvania’s 20 Electoral College votes, and with them, the presidency. 

Biden currently leads in the three swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by over 215,000 combined votes compared to the 77,744 votes by which Trump carried those three states combined in 2016. It would be practically impossible for Trump to win those states through legal challenges or recounts. 

As Insider’s Jacob Shamsian has reported, the Trump campaign itself has failed to produce any credible evidence of serious voter fraud in either courts of law or in the court of public opinion, with judges ruling against the campaign in all 12 of the suits they have filed in states including Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. 

A Trump campaign lawyer admitted that the campaign was not claiming the presence of massive fraud in a recent hearing for a lawsuit challenging mail ballot counting procedures in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania. And in another legal challenge, the Trump campaign raised questionable claims of fraud in two counties that Trump had decisively won. 

Outside of the courtroom, many of Trump’s powerful allies in elected office or in conservative media have failed to substantiate their allegations of sweeping voter fraud or election irregularities, or presented questionable evidence that has since fallen apart under scrutiny, as comprehensive fact-checking claims from journalists at Buzzfeed News from A Plus’ Isaac Saul has shown. 

Election officials in 45 states also recently confirmed to The New York Times that they are seeing no evidence of fraud in their states, and a group of 28 international election observers who observed voting in multiple states said in a preliminary report that they witnessed a remarkably well-run election with no evidence of fraud or malfeasance. 

An American is more likely to be struck by lightning than to commit election fraud

While fraud or attempts at fraud happens on a very small scale in every national election, it’s incredibly rare and affects a minuscule percentage of all ballots cast. And partly because election administration in the United States is decentralized down to the local level, it never occurs at a rate that would change the outcome of an election.

A comprehensive but nonexhaustive database of voter and election fraud cases maintained by the conservative Heritage Foundation finds documented cases of fraud with mail ballots are more common than cases of in-person voter impersonation, ballot petition fraud, and registration fraud, but that overall rates of fraud are infinitesimally low. 

Heritage’s database identified 193 criminal convictions, civil penalties, diversions, or other official findings for fraudulent use of mail ballots between 2000 and 2020, a time period during which approximately 250 million mail ballots were cast.

As MIT elections scholar Charles Stewart and National Vote At Home Institute …read more

Source:: Business Insider


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