The Atlanta Falcons are rolling into Tampa Bay to do battle with the Buccaneers on “Thursday Night Football” to kick off the NFL’s Week 15 slate.
Tampa Bay is finally going to see the return of future Hall of Fame wide receiver Mike Evans, as well as 2024 rookie standout Jalen McMillan.
For the Falcons, it will be veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins picking up yet another spot start in relief of the injured Michael Penix Jr.
Tampa Bay is still in pursuit of the top seed in the NFC South. But their division rival has nothing to lose for as they traded away their 2026 first-round pick in last year’s draft.
There will be no tanking tonight, just good old-fashioned hate in a division rivalry.
Here are our favorite player props for Week 15 Thursday Night Football.
Bijan Robinson o39.5 Receiving Yards (-112 FD)
Bijan Robinson’s receiving yards should be an auto-play any time it’s under 40.
The only running back in the NFL with more yards through the air is Christian McCaffrey, who played most of the season in the same situation that Robinson finds himself in now.
With the exception of last week against the league’s best defense, Robinson was at or around this number in three straight games with Cousins under center.
The Buccaneers have the worst defense in the league when it comes to stopping running backs in the passing game. Compare that to a rushing defense that ranks near the top of the league, and you understand why Robinson could get involved in the air.
Bijan is the best player on the roster; it would be coaching malpractice not to manufacture touches for the back.
I foresee Robinson getting a lot of work out of the slot against Todd Bowles’ blitz-heavy defense.
Baker Mayfield o1.5 Touchdown Passes (-132 FD)
Baker Mayfield is playing through who knows how many injuries at this point in time.
However, the Buccaneers cannot lose this football game.
At 7-6, the Bucs hold a slim lead over the Carolina Panthers, who sport the same record. A divisional loss could prove to be lethal at the end of the year.
Mayfield knows this. He also has his entire arsenal “healthy.”
I’m confident that the Bucs would not rush players back before they are ready. They are a team that has its sights set on the playoffs each and every year. They wouldn’t risk postseason availability unless they absolutely had to.
Baker is under this line in four straight games, losing three. He knows if this team wants any prayer at the postseason, he has to play better.
I’m betting on short week Baker to will his team back to life.
+750 Same Game Parlay
Before we get to the bacon, I’m going to provide the +350 parlay that I will be playing. We are taking the two plays above and adding Rachaad White to provide some relief for Bucky Irving on the short week.
While I like his line at o18.5, I’m teasing it down to 15+.
He had 53 yards last week in the loss to New Orleans after logging just seven in Bucky’s return. I believe the formula for the Bucs will be drive on drive off for the two premiere backs.
Bijan Robinson o39.5 rec yards
Baker Mayfield o1.5 pass TDs
Rachaad White 15+ rushing yards
For my greedy readers, I like Darnell Mooney to hit his number as well. It’s riskier considering Cousins’ inconsistencies, but catching passes against this Tampa Bay defense has been as easy as it gets all year long.
One of the best days you can have at work in any profession is when you get to be a wide receiver playing against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
In the last four weeks, 11 total receivers have passed Mooney’s projected 36.5 receiving yards total.
Add this leg to the other three to make a +750 same game parlay, or play all four lines straight.
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